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The overpromise problem in longevity

The overpromise problem in longevity

Healthspan innovator Niko Hems discusses why big claims stick – and how to filter the science from the noise.

The longevity sector is booming. Clinics, supplements, biological age tests and “antiaging” interventions are flooding the market. Each promises to slow, halt, or even reverse aging. Bold claims – “reverse your age by three years” or “add a decade of life” – spread fast, but the scientific foundations often lag behind.

This tension matters. For longevity science to progress and be trusted, the field must balance excitement with evidence.

The missing foundation

A central challenge is that we don’t yet have universally validated biomarkers of aging. Biological clocks – especially those based on DNA methylation – are valuable for research, but they often disagree with each other and can shift by several years due to technical variation. That makes them shaky ground for sweeping consumer promises.

Studies have highlighted both the variability between different DNA methylation platforms and the technical noise inherent in clock measurements, which can distort age predictions if used in isolation [1,2]. 

The Biomarkers of Aging Consortium is doing important work to address exactly these issues: validating biomarkers, comparing methodologies, and pushing for standardization across platforms. Their efforts are helping to turn what is currently a patchwork of measures into something that can eventually support regulatory approval and clinical translation. Until then, consumer-facing “age reversal” claims should be treated with caution.

Why people fall for it

Big numbers and simple headlines are easier to share than nuanced results. Social platforms reward emotional impact, not caveats. A lab coat or influencer can lend authority, and suddenly a modest pilot study looks like a breakthrough. It’s understandable that such messages gain traction – but oversimplification erodes trust over time.

Regulation isn’t enough

The US, Europe and UK all have frameworks to govern health claims. The Federal Trade Commission (FTC) requires “competent and reliable scientific evidence,” the European Food Safety Authority (EFSA) only allows pre-approved claims, and the UK Advertising Standards Authority (ASA) has intervened in cases where influencers made unsubstantiated antiaging claims.

There are real examples:

These actions demonstrate that enforcement is possible – but also that it tends to lag behind viral hype. By the time a warning letter arrives, the marketing campaign may already have run its course. This imbalance – high financial upside, low regulatory risk – means regulation alone won’t safeguard consumers or credibility for the longevity sector.

What needs to change

If longevity science is to be taken seriously, we must set higher standards ourselves. That means:

  1. Raise the bar for evidence. Avoid quantifying “years younger” from a single clock. If clocks disagree, acknowledge it. Present error margins. Make uncertainty visible.
  2. Differentiate mechanisms from outcomes. A shift in a surrogate biomarker is interesting, but it’s not the same as showing longer life or reduced disease risk. Clarity matters.
  3. Invest in the science. Marketing budgets could do more good when redirected toward validating biomarkers, running large-scale longitudinal studies, and building open datasets that connect surrogate measures with real-world outcomes. This is where initiatives like the Biomarkers of Aging Consortium play a critical role.

A simple reader filter

Consumers also have tools. When faced with the next antiaging breakthrough, ask:

  • Is the effect seen in multiple independent studies – or just one small pilot?
  • Was the evidence collected in humans, or only in mice or cells?
  • Does the company acknowledge uncertainty – or present a perfect story?
  • Was the trial randomized and controlled, or anecdotal?
  • Were outcomes based on healthspan or lifespan – or only surrogate markers?

If answers lean toward the weaker side, skepticism is warranted.

The bigger picture

Aging is the biggest risk factor for nearly every chronic disease. If we can measure and intervene in that process reliably, the potential benefits for healthspan and healthcare systems are immense. But to reach that point, the longevity community needs to build trust. And trust comes not from hype, but from transparency, rigor and evidence.

Exaggerated claims may sell products today, but they risk undermining the entire field tomorrow. By committing to validated science, constructive communication, and collaborative initiatives like the Biomarkers of Aging Consortium, longevity researchers and companies alike can ensure that when real breakthroughs arrive, they will be recognized for what they are – transformative, credible, and worth the wait.


About Niko Hems

Niko Hems is a data- and longevity-driven innovator currently serving as Growth Lead at YEARS, a Berlin-based preventive medicine clinic. With academic roots in management and data analytics from Nova School of Business and Economics in Lisbon and a Global Health and Innovation stint at UC Berkeley, he’s rounding off his expertise with an Executive Master of Science in Longevity at the Geneva College of Longevity Sciences. Niko has also co-founded ventures in cognitive performance and routinely shares insights through thought leadership on platforms like Substack and LinkedIn

Through his work, Niko brings a forward-looking, evidence-grounded voice to healthspan innovation – focusing on how rigorous data, credible mechanisms, and preventive strategies can help the longevity field move from hype to trusted solutions. He’s passionate about bridging the gap between real-world health optimization and scientific validity, and believes the sector’s future depends on transparency, investment in hard science, and standards that elevate both trust and impact.

[1] https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0326337
[2] https://www.nature.com/articles/s43587-022-00253-5

#overpromise #problem #longevity

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